FORECASTING TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN DI INDONESIA

Chairullah Amin, Amran Husen

Sari


Abstract: The study is conducted to analysis the case of unemployment rate of Indonesia infuture. By using ARIMA approach, the data of unemployment in period from 1986 to 2016 isinvestigated whether is there any influences of number of unemployments among the times inIndonesia in order to predict and forecast. The results show that untill 2030 the trend ofunemployments distance the equilibrium and continue increasing slightly so that it should beanticipated early by local government of Indonesia by doing some macro policies that pro-
employment.

Keywords : Unemployment, ARIMA.


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Referensi


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.60201/jepa.v7i2.6170

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